Macro & Policy
Federal Reserve, fiscal policy, economic data, and bond markets
U.S. Job Growth Blows Past Forecasts, Strengthening Case for Fed Rate Hikes
May payrolls of 172,000 crush estimates and push Treasury yields to multi-month highs as policymakers face renewed inflation pressure.
Macro & PolicyIran Conflict Hasn't Slowed the Economy but Rising Inflation Coaxes Business to Freeze Hiring
Despite economic growth in May, companies are implementing temporary hiring freezes as inflation reaches multi-year highs, creating headwinds for jobseekers.
Macro & PolicyJerome Powell Warns That Politicizing Fed Will Erode Its Credibility
Former Federal Reserve chair emphasizes central bank independence as a critical asset that must be protected from political interference.
Macro & PolicyRipple Reportedly Leading $1B XRP Treasury Raise via SPAC Vehicle
The move would create the largest XRP-focused digital asset treasury to date, testing whether token accumulation plays can work beyond bitcoin.
Macro & PolicyECB Research Shows 'Double Scar' Effect of Past Inflation and Geopolitical Shocks Reshaping Consumer Behavior
Euro area households are sharply revising inflation expectations upward while cutting growth forecasts as the Iran war compounds memories of prior economic trauma.
Macro & PolicyDebasement Trade Falls Out of Favor as Inflation Fears Cool, JPMorgan Says
Investors pull capital from bitcoin and gold ETFs simultaneously, signaling retreat from macro hedge trades that surged amid Middle East tensions.
Macro & PolicyInflation Climbs to Three-Year High as Price Pressures Persist
The Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge reached its highest level since April 2023 last month, with analysts warning the metric could continue rising before any meaningful relief arrives.
Macro & PolicyWhite House Reviews CFTC Prediction-Market Rule as Trump Backs Federal Control Over Event Contracts
OIRA review signals potential federal framework for Kalshi, Polymarket amid state-federal jurisdictional battles over sports and election markets.
Macro & PolicyOil Prices Remain Elevated as Fed's Goolsbee Warns of Persistent Energy Inflation, Stagflation Risk for Asia
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee says energy inflation tied to the Iran conflict has exceeded market expectations, creating stagflationary headwinds for Asian economies.
Macro & PolicyFed's Kashkari Says Inflation Fight Takes Priority as Labor Market Holds Steady
Minneapolis Fed president warns consumer prices remain 'much too high,' signals central bank will maintain balanced approach to dual mandate.
Macro & PolicyGoogle Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket Using Search Data
Michele Spagnuolo allegedly used internal Google tools to bet on search trends, generating more than $1.2 million in illegal profits from material nonpublic information.
Macro & PolicyECB Vows to Do 'What Is Necessary' to Tame Inflation as War Sparks Energy Crisis
Bank of France Governor Villeroy de Galhau reassures markets the ECB remains committed to its 2% inflation target amid surging oil prices from the Iran conflict.