Kohl's Corporation has mounted a remarkable turnaround, with shares climbing more than 130% over the past year as the retailer works to reclaim relevance in a brutal department store landscape. The stock surge comes after a five-year period that saw Kohl's lose nearly 70% of its value, prompting new leadership under CEO Michael Bender to pivot back to the retailer's core strengths: proprietary brands, aggressive coupons and customer loyalty programs that once drove legions of budget-conscious American families through its doors.
Market Context
The department store sector has faced persistent pressure as competition intensifies from Walmart, T.J. Maxx and Amazon. Middle-income consumers, squeezed by elevated inflation in recent years, have become increasingly selective about where they spend discretionary dollars. While Macy's and Bloomingdale's have also struggled with shifting consumer habits, Kohl's specific missteps accelerated its decline relative to peers.
Analysis
Bender, who took the helm in late 2025, has made clear that Kohl's strayed too far from what built its customer base. The retailer alienated core shoppers by leaning into off-price retail and limiting coupon usage—moves away from proprietary brands that had long differentiated the chain. "We made some decisions where we took away categories," Bender told CNBC, pointing to the removal of petites and jewelry sections as examples. "Those are categories...that are not substitutable."
The CEO described Kohl's prior strategy as "drifting" and acknowledged the company stopped listening to its customers. Rapid executive turnover compounded the problem, with inconsistent messaging around credit card offerings and promotional calendars confusing loyal shoppers who had relied on predictable deals.
Chuck Grom, an analyst at Gordon Haskett, said Kohl's attempted transformation into an off-price competitor was a fundamental misstep. "I think companies need to realize who their customer bases are and not try to become somebody they're not," Grom told CNBC. "Too often retailers want to become what somebody else is, and that often can backfire on you."
The retailer now faces the challenge of winning back cost-conscious consumers who have found compelling value propositions elsewhere. Sonia Lapinsky, managing director of retail at consulting firm AlixPartners, noted that shoppers prioritize "value, brands and the cheapest price they can get," creating a crowded competitive field.
Key Numbers
- 130% — Kohl's stock climb over the past year
- $82 per share — all-time high reached in late 2018
- $20.23 billion — peak revenue for fiscal year ended February 2019
- Nearly 70% — value lost over five-year period before recent recovery
- $3 billion — most recent quarterly revenue, topping Wall Street estimates
- 20% — stock spike following latest earnings report
- Four years — duration of comparable sales growth improvement in recent quarter
What to Watch
Kohl's will need to demonstrate sustained momentum in comparable sales as it works toward what Bender calls "the neighborhood of growth." The retailer's Sephora shop-in-shops, designed to attract younger consumers and drive deeper store engagement, underperformed with a low-single digit percentage decline last quarter—though the partnerships have historically generated billions in sales. TD Cowen analysts recently rated the stock at hold, citing pressure on core credit consumers and apparel business challenges. The company projects full-year net sales and comparable sales to range from down 2% to flat. Upcoming earnings calls will test whether Kohl's can convert Sephora foot traffic into broader purchasing behavior across departments.
Bender acknowledged the recovery remains in early innings. "We have not arrived yet," he said. "I don't want anyone to feel like we planted that flag and said, 'We're done.'" The market will be watching for evidence that returning to heritage value propositions can reverse years of customer attrition in an increasingly competitive retail environment.